Tuesday 27 May 2014

Egypt‘s transition; a case of democracy or return to dictatorship




The new wave of political dispensation from the African side in form of revolutions is receiving a great introspection after the sole called civic revolutionary agenda has failed to provide much needed stability in case countries, though the concerns behind the revolutions remain relevant and  a sign of discontent by oppressed many around the world.

Misheck Gondo 

Egypt has been under military rule for the past sixty years, its political terrain has been epitomized by authoritarian type of governance that was far away from guaranteeing basic human dignity. Some analysts are predicting the gimmicks of 1954 in which Egypt invoked a millitarian style that limited civilian space to make decisions; the only difference with the contemporary is that women are allowed to vote.

The year 2011 saw the a long time leader, the fourth President 0f Egypt from 1981 Muhammad Hosni El Sayed Mubarak deposed by a people‘s revolution in anticipation of a democratic rule that values the developmental faculties of all human aspirations, with Abdul Fattah al-Sisi being the army chief of the Mubarak era, he migrated with a newly democratically elected government in 2012 led by the Muslim Brotherhood anchor Mohammed Morsi who by other schools of thoughts described as an extremist.
In discontent, the mass re-invented their strategy of revolution to sideline the Islamist ‘extremism’, which created a leadership vacuum that was later filled by the army after a military coup.  

Today Egypt goes to the polls; with two contenders to the posts; former army chief Sisi battling against the long time politician, left-wing candidate Hamdeen Sabahi. Though Sisi is expected to win the election with a larger margin there are many questions that need answers: Is Egypt going to have political freedom, To what extent democracy will win the day in Egypt, What does democracy really mean in Egypt, Is it a case of democracy or stability?

The expected winner Sisi is behind the April 6 Coup that deposed Morsi, Egypt stands suspended from African Union because of this coup, with western countries hiding behind their diplomacy simply because they had less favors with Morsi extremist policies that favors radical strategies.
The big question which needs attention is weather the military will demilitarize the Egyptian economy, with mass death sentences that are being offered by civilian courts while the sole called international community is watching.  How democratic is an election that is sidelining almost 42 percent of the voting population that supports Muslim Brotherhood that has been since declared a terrorist organization in Egypt and not taking part in the election.

Even on the day of election, mass protests are being done across the nation, with Jihadist Movement intensifying its effort to discredit military rule, students also complimenting the efforts and Journalist being detained without trial.

The state of Egyptian people is complicated, the military might have taken advantage of people‘s despair, reverse the revolutionary gains that was centered on democracy and promise security.

Instead of a radical strategy by the military, an inclusive approach was a better means to bring stability to Egypt with the inclusion of all parties in Islam, Secular politicians, Christians among other. 

It will be through a very consolidated strategy by new Egyptian President if the country spend another year without another revolution, another bloodshed in Pharaoh‘s land, a sad story for Africa.

Let’s wish Egypt stability after elections, in anticipation of democracy that will come with the release of those arrested; salvation of the politically banned among other pro-democratic norms, a domestic policy that promotes minority and majority aspirations of all and also a foreign policy that is in confines with international law.

A victory for Sisi the former army chief is likely going to be a sad story to the African Presidents in fearing of their army generals, Zimbabwe included.

Let’s wait and see.

Misheck is an International Relations expert with the University of Zimbabwe (U.Z)

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