Wednesday 2 July 2014

Zimbabwe‘s Economic Challenges and the Relevance of the National Budget to Pro-Poor Development



The National Budget is a critical economic instrument which the Government can use to drive and impact the well-being of its citizens.  A budget is a government document presenting the government's proposed revenues and spending for a financial year that is often passed by the legislature, approved by the executive and presented by the Finance and Economic Development Minister to the nation as a proposal of revenues and expenditures a government expects for a given fiscal year.

Misheck Gondo 

The budget has to spell out the government priorities in reduction of poverty and championing economic growth, it gives a clear outline on the projections of revenue and expenditure which the government will be anticipating to receive and expend the following year.

As 2014 draws to an end it is a very important time were the Ministry of Finance and Economic Development will be conducting consultations on the 2015 National Budget, as the economy faces various challenges such as the liquidity crunch, unemployment which is being exacerbated by the daily closure of companies among others; an indicator of how the 2014 National Budget failed to address critical economic issues. The Minister should swim with reality set aside political pre-amble but take onside key economic catalysts that drive the economy to a developmental victory.

The budget should be a pinnacle towards addressing income disparities between the poor and the rich through enactment of favorable policies and proposal, as progressive tax reforms. In Zimbabwe most people earn below the poverty datum line according to ZimStat (2013), therefore the budget should specify tax exemption strategy for those below the datum line bracket.

The National Budget can be a tool to drive the economy if done and supported with positive economic and political sense; taking into account critical pillars that are key to the economy and at the same time the government needs to be realistic on its statistical data on various priority areas.
A good example of unrealistic prediction on statistical data is the recently published rate of unemployment in Zimbabwe which they peg at 11(%) percent, if the government uses such dangerous prediction, it will result in pseudo policies that do not address the actual needs of people, it will be a political statement; showing a picture that Zimbabwe has a lower unemployment rate yet in the actual sense it’s above 80 percent.

The key priority areas such as Agriculture, Education, Health and Micro Economic Policy and Trade Relations should be given attention in 2015 National Budget. Agriculture is the pillar and the backbone of our economy, the Poverty Income Consumption and Expenditure Survey of 2011/12 indicated that about 68.2% are in rural areas and depend on Agriculture for food and income.
According to Maputo Declaration the Agricultural Sector should receive at least 10% attention of the national budget, in 2014 the budget only allocated 3.8 % which was far beyond reality. Zimbabwe also needs to fully align the SADC Regional Agricultural Policy (RAP) with other frameworks such as Zimbabwe Agricultural Policy Frameworks, Climate Change Policy and Strategic Action Plan (CCP). 

Practically the budget must give adequate support to farmers based on clear business models that are premised on efficiency and profitability.

Education should also be a center in 2015 budget in line with Dakar Declaration that stipulates the need for a at least 20% allocation to education in every budget, however in the 2014 National budget, Zimbabwe surpassed the 20% mark and allocated 29 %, a positive move on paper, but there is need to evaluate if the allocated budgetary requirement has been received by the sector, also the salary to programs ratio has to be analyzed before we celebrate the surpassing standard.

Attention in education should also be centered on the new Constitution Section 27 that calls for free education at primary level. In addition, the need to adequately resource the BEAM to ensures access to education by all children especially orphans and vulnerable. There is need to avail resources for construction and rehabilitation of educational infrastructure especially in rural and resettled areas.
At tertiary level, many poor families cannot afford college tuition and related cost; the government should prioritize re-introducing grants to students. 

The teachers are said to do community service to the nation with regard to their remuneration which need attention as one of the requirements to improve the quality of education in the country.

We need a healthy nation, the government should give adequate support to the health sector with regard to maternal health (free maternal care), reduce child mortality, combating HIV and AIDS, malaria and avail more resources to fight non communicable diseases such as cancer, diabetes among others, as enshrined in Abuja Declaration which calls for the availing of at least 15 % of the national budget to the health sector. The Ministry of Health has endorsed the rise of health fees in an economy where people are failing to bring food on their tables; this is an anti-poor strategy that requires urgent correction.

Trade relations are fundamental in International Relations; there is need for policy shift especially on Indigenization in order to accommodate foreign direct investment(FDI) which is a key factor in boosting the economy. The country must establish and maintain policies conducive for microeconomic stability and align the country’s micro economic policies with SADC Trade Protocol and the SADC Protocol on Free Movement of Persons as a measure to support the SADC Common market; a strategy to increase access to a larger market to local industry.

The challenges that our economy is facing can be a thing of the past if the government show political will, support its blue print such as ZIMASSET with enough resources backed by genuine policies which come from wider consultations, stick to the culture of adherence to the budget, strict alignment of all expenditures to disbursements, debt management- cash budget principle, eradicate corruption, support industrial growth, set measures to manage imports to maintain an even playing field with regards to cheap imports and above all guided by the universal principles such as: rule of law, democracy , good governance and respect for human dignity, and  by this, there is assurance of achieving pro-poor development.

Let’s  wait and see

Misheck is an International Relations Expert with University of Zimbabwe


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