Monday 31 March 2014

COLD WAR GHOST MANIFESTATION; THE RIGHT TO SELF-DETERMINATION UNDER SPOTLIGHT AS RUSSIA TAKES A MOVE TO BALANCE GLOBAL POWER



The recent international events has made International Relations a
darling subject to follow; with the emergency of revolutions as a contemporary catalyst in modern day politics, several analysts had questioned whether the idea of revolutions is people centred or is subjected to political manipulation by powerful nations to maintain their unipolar interests.

  


 Misheck Gondo

Of interesting to note is the rise of Russia a former guru in the Soviet Union, its response to the global issues shows not only political stamina, but also the shifting of political unipolarism to bipolarism.
The Syrian Case, the Edward Snowden Case and the newly born Ukrainian Case proved to the world how Russia is determined to leverage the international political order which has been in the hands of western hegemony.

The military intervention by Russia to protect the Russian speaking in Ukraine has not only caused political shiver to the EU and US but also political confusion, as seen by the level of sanctions being imposed as a global isolation strategy.  Rationally, one would advise the EU and US that a military threat should attract a military respond, a threat of sanction will unlikely shake Russia, but consolidate its quest to be seen as a powerful 21th century political force.

Some quotas might believe that the political reaction by Russia is based on its interest to exploit gas in Crimea, but this is just a molecule in an element; the issue is about broader interests that are premised on the future security of Russia.

To grasp the current actions by Russia, there is need to take a step back to the Cold War era and also understand Russia‘s foreign policy objectives from that period. To mention but a few, Russia strives by all cost to protect smaller states through the doctrine of non interference.

 Politically, the events which are believed to have been funded by the West were leading to the Ukraine joining the EU with Crimea included; this was believed to have weakened Russia both militarily, politically and economically. Ukraine is not the last target for this ‘Western’ strategy, currently Venezuela is on fire. Politically Russia cannot just watch while its interest being thrown into political oblivion.

The Russian position on Ukraine might be morally justified but legally wrong, as compared to the similar illegal intervention by United States America in other independent territories such as Iraq, Afghanistan, and Libya among others. USA has shorter memory of its illegal interventions in sovereign states in search of unfounded nuclear or hides behind the pretext of terrorism.

United States of America is on a free-fall, this is a naked reality, many smaller states support U.S.A not because of its romantic foreign policy but because of fear, political  intimidation come from their motto which goes by saying, ‘If you are not with us, you are against us’. However the fall of USA does not make Russia a better devil, it will remain an extremist country whose policies are dangerous to international relations.

Russia is also taking advantage of the Obama party ideology (the Democrats) which has an anti-war doctrine.  The previous Bush‘s Republican Party was using war as a means of communication. It is important to note that U.S will never fight Russia directly; it will implore strategies such as proxy wars, economic isolation among others. However with the 21st century globalisation, Russia has many partners to do business with.

The fall of USA is also being fast -tracked by its decreased support from EU countries, US has been fingered in spying EU countries using advanced technology, this king of betrayal to allies warrant long term punishment, in the near future countries such as Germany might take over the role of the falling U.S and balance world power with extremist counties such Russia and China.

There is a widespread debate on the legality of Russia‘s military intervention in Ukraine, the Security Council met eighty times and Russia vetoed against the US proposal, with China abstaining, while the remaining council members voted in support of Ukraine on its right to territorial integrity. 

Self-determination challenges the ides of sovereignty and territorial integrity of a state. The legitimatization of the principle of national self-determination in the 1990s has led to a growth in the number of intra-state conflict where sub-groups have sought greater self-determination and sometimes, even full secession. Accordingly, international reaction to these new movements has been uneven and has often been dictated more by politics than by principle.

Self-determination is a jus cogens or a peremptory norm and therefore cannot be legitimately made to stand derogation from. This  is  because it is sourced in customary, treaty and case international law with a vested right to protect the human rights of people united together in expressing their sovereign right to independence. 

Self-determination is an important right as far as humanity is concerned, yet it is a contentious, principle of International Law. It emerged as a powerful subject and a critical right seeking to usher independence of many peoples, most significantly the independence of colonial peoples.  The right to self-determination is comprised of different elements and it has several aspects. The most sagacious element is the fact that it is linked to the fundamental principles of Public International Law and that it incarnates the concept of the right of peoples to determine their own destiny without outside interference or subjugation, presupposing all peoples are equal.

This means trust and non-self-governing territories must naturally be granted a right to independence, self-expression and actualisation of their independence once it can be collectively proven that they possess the capacity for economic, social and political self-sustenance.  

The granting of the right to self-rule has proven contentious as the secession of a territory connotes an embarrassing internal fractionalisation which is not usually permissible for socio-political and economic reasons in many single-unit, self-governing entities.

There is conflict in international law with regard to territorial integrity and the doctrine of self-determination. The United Nations Declaration on Friendly Relations stipulates that there shall not be dismember or impair, totally or in part the integrity or sovereignty of an independent state.  Paragraph 6 of the UN Resolution 1514 also aired that, any attempt aimed at partial or total disruption of the national unity and the territorial integrity of a country incompatible with the purposes and principles of the United Nations Charter is not permissible.
The above notion heavily contradicts with the concept of self-determination. The United Nations enacted two important legal texts to explain human rights and as an enforcement mechanism for United Nations Charter that is the International Covenant on Political and Civil Rights (ICCPR) and the International Covenant on Economic, Social and Cultural Rights (ICESCR), both of the two covenants, adopted in 1966. Self-determination is a critical component in these documents, Article I of ICCCPR and ICESCR stipulate that   the peoples are entitled to the right to self-determination and by virtue of that right they are free to pursue their economic, cultural, social and political development.
Having brought forward the different declarations and international law instruments, what remains a question is whether the Russian‘s military intervention in Ukraine is permissible under international law. It has to be noted that the use of force to acquire an independent territory is prohibited within the context of international law; let alone the invasion of an independent state such as Ukraine, it is not justifiable to invade another independent state in the pretext of protecting ethnic speaking nationals of that sovereign state.
It is as saying South Africa invading Zimbabwe to protect the Zulu speaking Zimbabweans in Zimbabwe; it does not make a legal sense. The referendum in Crimea could have been legitimate if it was supervised under Ukraine government with the guidance of United Nations.
The modern international law articulates clearly that annexation by force is in serious violation of Article 2(4) of the United Nations Charter, in this regard there was no justiciable right for the Russian government to erode the sovereignty of an independent State, Ukraine.
Even though the people of Crimea have the right to self-determination, the manner in which the annexation was done cannot be binding under international law. Russia‘s move is an act of war not to Ukraine but to fellow super powers, it’s a clear message of  a rising super power that is not only seeking to balance the world power, but also to protect certain interests.
The role of China in this game should not be overlooked, China abstained in the Security Council, as a permanent member with a veto vote, this is an indirect support for Russia‘s rise to fame. However, China cannot directly support the right to self-determination as this will create internal chaos in its land, were many independent ‘states’ are seeking the same right.
China has for long suppressed minority territories that were once independent, the case of Tibet which is led by His Holiness the Dalai Lama, Hong Kong among other. So China will be very cautious in the manner in which it renders support to Russia, in order to avoid international strife from its suppressed colonies in its own land , that are seeking the right to self-determination. Apart from that, during the time Russia is using aggression to the West and in return received sanctions, China is on a US –EU tour to strengthen relations, this must be a message to Russia.
Self-determination movements remain vibrant in such areas of the world. Some regions possess de-facto independence, for instance Taiwan, North Cyprus, Kosovo, and South Ossetia, and the recent is Crimea in Ukraine, it is of great fundamentality to note that the quest and legitimate claim of independence is vastly disputed by some states. There are also other movements that have a history to fight for their rights such as that of Kurdistan the State of Palestine and Chechnya.
Even in Zimbabwe, there is a group of individuals calling itself Mtwakazi Liberation Front that is seeking the right to self-determination, however this groups lacks basics understanding of international law which is used to grant the right in question. If not so, it’s just a strategy to seek attention.
The recent meeting between Lavrov and Kerry in Paris is a game of diplomacy; Russia seeking dialogue with USA after its interest has been achieved in Crimea, what a strategy.
Vladimir Putin ‘s   compass on Crimea has taken off side, the long run of him might be of no happiness, neither the Russians should celebrate this pot of  Cold war 11 or World War 111 in their back yard, if not before that, a humiliation in the international political order. I don’t think Russia is ready for war with the western world but it is seeking the balance of power which brings with it political, economic, social and cultural respect.
It’s a game of mind and diplomacy.
Let’s wait and see
Misheck Gondo is an International Relations Expert with the University of Zimbabwe (U.Z)









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